Prediction Market Categories

Arbitrage opportunities vary by category — spread sizes, liquidity, and resolution risk all differ. Here's what to expect across each.

🗳️

Politics Markets

The largest and most liquid category across both Polymarket and Kalshi.

Low risk

1.5–6%

typical spread

📊

Economics Markets

Kalshi's strongest category — regulated economic indicators with clean resolution.

Low risk

1–3%

typical spread

Crypto Markets

24/7 markets with high volatility and frequent price divergences.

Low risk

1–4%

typical spread

🏆

Sports Markets

Seasonal spikes around playoffs, championships, and major tournaments.

Low risk

1–4%

typical spread

🎬

Entertainment Markets

Oscars, awards, box office, and reality TV — wider spreads, thinner liquidity.

Medium risk

2–6%

typical spread

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