Question 1

What is prediction market arbitrage?

Accepted Answer

Prediction market arbitrage is buying YES on one platform and NO on another for the same event when the combined cost is less than $1. Since one side always pays $1, you collect the difference as guaranteed profit regardless of outcome.

Question 2

How does Arbitrage Agent work?

Accepted Answer

Arbitrage Agent monitors over 10,000 markets simultaneously across Polymarket and Kalshi, uses AI to match the same events across platforms, detects when YES + NO costs less than $1, and automatically executes both orders in under one second.

Question 3

Is Polymarket and Kalshi arbitrage risk-free?

Accepted Answer

Cross-platform arbitrage between Polymarket and Kalshi is market-neutral — you don't need to predict any outcome. The main risks are execution speed and fees, which Arbitrage Agent accounts for before executing any trade.

Question 4

What spreads can I expect from prediction market arbitrage?

Accepted Answer

Typical spreads range from 1.5% to 4% per trade. During high-volatility events like elections or major news, spreads can be significantly wider and stay open longer.

Question 5

When will Arbitrage Agent launch?

Accepted Answer

Arbitrage Agent is currently in development. Join the waitlist at arbitrage-agent.com to get early access when we launch.

Arbitrage Calculator