How Arbitrage Agent Works

From market scanning to locked-in profit — in 5 steps, with continuous detection.

STEP 01

Continuous Market Scanning

Arbitrage Agent monitors thousands of binary event markets across Polymarket and Kalshi simultaneously. Every second, it compares YES and NO prices for events listed on both platforms — politics, crypto, sports, economics, and more.

STEP 02

AI-Powered Semantic Matching

The same event is often listed with different titles on each platform. Our AI semantic matching engine — with every pair validated before it goes live — identifies that "Will BTC reach $100K by July?" on Polymarket is the same event as "Bitcoin above $100,000 on July 1" on Kalshi — even when the wording is completely different.

STEP 03

Spread & Risk Calculation

When a price gap exists, the agent calculates the gross spread, deducts platform fees (~1% per side), and determines the net edge. Only opportunities above your configured minimum threshold (typically 1.5%+) appear in your feed. Use the free calculator to see how this math works.

STEP 04

Signal & Guided Execution

When the edge crosses your threshold, the opportunity appears in your live feed and opens a step-by-step guide: which side to buy on each platform, at what price, sized to your bankroll. Prices can move while you place the orders, so the edge you see is not guaranteed. Telegram/email alerts are planned for the Operator plan. Fully automated parallel execution (with a circuit breaker that unwinds if one leg fails) is in final testing and rolls out to Operator subscribers soon.

STEP 05

Automatic Settlement

When the event resolves, one contract pays $1.00 and the other pays $0.00. Since you hold both sides, you always receive exactly $1.00 — and your profit (the difference between $1.00 and what you paid) was locked in at execution. No prediction required.

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© 2026 Arbitrage Agent. Not financial advice. Trading involves risk of loss.